2026 September 14

Dragon portfolio intro§

The dragon portfolio is my long-term (20+ years) investment portolio. This first post outlines my assumptions about the future, my background, my goals for the portfolio, the composition of the portfolio, etc.

Audience§

I’m actually writing these posts first and foremost for myself. My main goal is to help me remember my assumptions about the future, why I picked one ETF over another, why I allocated such-and-such amount to a certain asset class, etc. I will also be recording detailed snapshots of the portfolio’s performance to help me stay grounded and realistic. I very much look forward to reflecting on how the portfolio performs when I’m right about the future, but even more so when I’m wrong!

I’m making the posts public because I find global macroeconomics fascinating and figure that others might also enjoy debating these ideas. Perhaps a good samaritan will come along and give me feedback that ends up saving me a lot of money.

Disclaimer§

This is not investment advice. Consult an investment professional before making decisions related to topics mentioned in this post. I am an amateur investor. I may end up losing a lot of money through the dragon portfolio.

Summary§

TODO

Background§

TODO

Goals§

TODO

Preserve purchasing power§

ABANDON ALL HOPE, YE WHO ENTER HERE

TODO

Avoid big drawdowns§

Minimize babysitting§

I don’t have the time nor energy to rebalance the portfolio more than twice a year. I’ve also heard that portfolios perform best when you leave them be and don’t fiddle with them too much.

Snapshot§

Dragon portfolio as of 2026 September 14§

Ticker

Weight (%)

Class

Value ($)

BCD

9

Commodities

7338

BITW

3

Currencies

2683

BWX

5

Bonds

4078

CAOS

9

Volatility

7364

CTA

2

Trends

1630

DBMF

2

Trends

1631

EMLC

5

Bonds

4077

FOXY

4

Trends

3264

IMF

2

Trends

1628

SGOL

9

Currencies

7014

STIP

3

Bonds

2451

TLT

5

Bonds

4077

USDU

6

Currencies

4922

VEA

12

Stocks

9716

VTI

9

Stocks

7337

VWO

12

Stocks

9787

WIP

3

Bonds

2425